Projections of climate change in the Mediterranean Basin by using downscaled global climate model outputs
Ceber, Zeynep Pelin
Kurnaz, Mehmet Levent
MetadataShow full item record
The Mediterranean Basin is one of the regions that shall be affected most by the impacts of the future climate changes on hydrology and water resources. In this study, projected future changes in mean air temperature and precipitation climatology and inter-annual variability over the Mediterranean region were studied. For performing this aim, the future changes in annual and seasonal averages for the future period of 2070-2100 with respect to the period from 1970 to 2000 were investigated. Global climate model outputs of the World Climate Research Program's Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 multi-model dataset were used in this work. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SRES A2, A1B and B1 emission scenarios' outputs were used in future climate model projections. Future surface mean air temperatures of the larger Mediterranean basin increase mostly in summer and least in winter, and precipitation amounts decrease in all seasons at almost all parts of the basin. Future climate signals for air temperature and total precipitation values are much larger than the inter-model standard deviation. Inter-annual temperature variability increases evidently in summer season and decreases in the northern part of the domain in the winter season, while precipitation variability increases in almost all parts of domain. Probability distribution functions are found to be shifted and flattened for future period compared to the reference period. This indicates that the occurrence of frequency and intensity of high temperatures and heavy precipitation events will likely increase in the future period.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Projected changes in temperature and precipitation climatology of Central Asia CORDEX Region 8 by using RegCM4.3.5 Öztürk, Tuğba; Turp, Mustafa Tufan; Türkeş, Murat; Kurnaz, Mehmet Levent (Elsevier Ltd, 2017-01-01)This work investigated projected future changes in seasonal mean air temperature (°C) and precipitation (mm/day) climatology for the three periods of 2011–2040, 2041–2070, and 2071–2100, with respect to the control period ...
Quaternary uplift of the northern margin of the Central Anatolian Plateau: New OSL dates of fluvial and delta-terrace deposits of the Kizilirmak River, Black Sea coast, Turkey Berndt, Christopher; Yıldırım, Cengiz; Çiner, Tahsin Attila; Strecker, Manfred R.; Ertunç, Gülgün; Sarıkaya, Mehmet Akif; Özcan, Orkan; Öztürk, Tuğba; Kıyak Güneç, Nafiye (Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2018-12-01)We analysed the interplay between coastal uplift, sea level change in the Black Sea, and incision of the Kizilirmak River in northern Turkey. These processes have created multiple co-genetic fluvial and marine terrace ...
Simulation of temperature and precipitation climatology for the Central Asia CORDEX domain using RegCM 4.0 Öztürk, Tuğba; Altınsoy, Hamza; Türkeş, Murat; Kurnaz, Mehmet Levent (Inter-Research, 2012)The Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) is a framework designed to coordinate international efforts on regional climate simulations. CORDEX domains encompass the majority of land areas of the world. ...