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dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.contributor.authorTurp, Mustafa Tufanen_US
dc.contributor.authorTürkeş, Muraten_US
dc.contributor.authorKurnaz, Mehmet Leventen_US
dc.date.accessioned2016-11-21T06:47:59Z
dc.date.available2016-11-21T06:47:59Z
dc.date.issued2017-01-01
dc.identifier.citationÖztürk, T., Turp, M. T., Türkeş, M. & Kurnaz, M. L. (2017). Projected changes in temperature and precipitation climatology of central asia CORDEX region 8 by using RegCM4.3.5. Atmospheric Research, 183, 296-307. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.09.008en_US
dc.identifier.issn0169-8095
dc.identifier.issn1873-2895
dc.identifier.otherWOS:000386861800025
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/1142
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.09.008
dc.description.abstractThis work investigated projected future changes in seasonal mean air temperature (°C) and precipitation (mm/day) climatology for the three periods of 2011–2040, 2041–2070, and 2071–2100, with respect to the control period of 1971–2000 for the Central Asia domain via regional climate model simulations. In order to investigate the projected changes in near future climate conditions, the Regional Climate Model, RegCM4.3.5 of the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) was driven by two different CMIP5 global climate models. The HadGEM2-ES global climate model of the Met Office Hadley Centre and the MPI-ESM-MR global climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology were downscaled to 50 km for the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) Region 8. We investigated the seasonal time-scale performance of RegCM4.3.5 in reproducing observed climatology over the domain of the Central Asia by using two different global climate model outputs. For the future climatology of the domain, the regional model projects relatively high warming in the warm season with a decrease in precipitation in almost all parts of the domain. A warming trend is notable, especially for the northern part of the domain during the cold season. The results of our study show that surface air temperatures in the region will increase between 3 °C and about 7 °C on average, according to the emission scenarios for the period of 2071–2100 with respect to past period of 1971–2000. Therefore, the projected warming and decrease in precipitation might adversely affect the ecological and socio-economic systems of this region, which is already a mostly arid and semi-arid environment.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherElsevier Ltden_US
dc.relation.isversionof10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.09.008
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectCentral Asiaen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectRegCM4.3.5en_US
dc.subjectRegional climate modelingen_US
dc.subjectAtmospheric temperatureen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectClimatologyen_US
dc.subjectElectric power system interconnectionen_US
dc.subjectPrecipitation climatologyen_US
dc.subjectRegional climate model simulationen_US
dc.subjectSemi-arid environmentsen_US
dc.subjectSocio-economic systemsen_US
dc.subjectSurface air temperaturesen_US
dc.subjectClimate modelsen_US
dc.titleProjected changes in temperature and precipitation climatology of Central Asia CORDEX Region 8 by using RegCM4.3.5en_US
dc.typearticleen_US
dc.description.versionPublisher's Versionen_US
dc.relation.journalAtmospheric Researchen_US
dc.contributor.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Fizik Bölümüen_US
dc.contributor.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Physicsen_US
dc.contributor.authorID0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.identifier.volume183
dc.identifier.startpage296
dc.identifier.endpage307
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.contributor.institutionauthorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US


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