Dynamic frontier estimation for monitoring team performances: A case on Turkish first division football league
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Dosyalar
Tarih
2019-06-10
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
Purpose: This paper aims to investigate how predictions of football league standings and efficiency measures of teams, obtained through frontier estimation technique, evolve compared to actual results. Design/methodology/approach: The study is based on data from the Turkish first division football league. Historical data for five seasons, from 2011 to 2016, are used to compare weekly estimates to de facto results. Data envelopment analysis efficiency measures are used to estimate team performances. After each week, a data envelopment analysis is run using available data until then, and final team standings are estimated via computed efficiencies. Estimations are improved by using a data envelopment analysis model that incorporates expert knowledge about football. Findings: Results indicate that deductions can be made about the league’s future progress. Model incorporating expert knowledge tends to estimate the performance better. Although the prediction accuracy starts out low in early stages, it improves as the season advances. Scatter of individual teams’ performances show fluxional behaviour, which attracts studying the impact of uncontrollable factors such as refereeing. Originality/value: While all previous studies focus on season performance, this study handles the problem as a combination of weekly performance and how it converges to reality. By tracking weekly performance, managers get a chance to confront their weak performance indicators and achieve higher ranking by improving on these inefficiencies.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Assurance region model, Clubs, Data envelopment analysis, Efficiency, Football, Football efficiency, Measuring, Network, Productivity, Soccer, Sports leagues, Turkish football clubs
Kaynak
Team Performance Management
WoS Q Değeri
N/A
Scopus Q Değeri
Q2
Cilt
25
Sayı
3-4
SI
SI
Künye
Yılmaz, M., Aksezer, S. Ç. & Atan, S. T. (2019). Dynamic frontier estimation for monitoring team performances: A case on turkish first division football league. Team Performance Management, 25(3-4), 212-228. doi:10.1108/TPM-11-2017-0076
