Investigation of the drought probabilities over Turkey in a changing climate

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dc.authorid0000-0002-3980-2153
dc.authorid0000-0003-2024-0565
dc.authorid0000-0002-8806-3350
dc.authorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.authorid0000-0003-3050-9847
dc.contributor.authorTurp, Mustafa Tufanen_US
dc.contributor.authorAkbaş, Abdullahen_US
dc.contributor.authorSaygılı, Sibelen_US
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.contributor.authorKurnaz, Mehmet Leventen_US
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-26T10:19:17Z
dc.date.available2026-02-26T10:19:17Z
dc.date.issued2016-04-22
dc.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Fizik Bölümüen_US
dc.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Physicsen_US
dc.description.abstractAs a consequence of the negative impacts of climate change, Turkey is under risk of an increased drought conditions. In this study, we aim to detect the possible changes in the intensity and frequency of drought conditions and to identify the spatial and temporal distributions of these changes throughout the country. Therefore, firstly the outputs of the MPI-ESM-MR global climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology were downscaled to 50 km for Turkey via Regional Climate Model (RegCM4.4) of the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP). RCP8.5, which is the worst case emission pathway, is used to make future projection for the period of 2071 - 2100 with respect to the reference period of 1971 - 2000 over Turkey. Thereafter, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) values, which are computed by using monthly precipitation totals data of the model, are obtained and classified for three timescales (i.e. 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month). Lastly, the spatial distribution maps, which determine the changes in drought probabilities over Turkey, are created in order to characterize better the impact of climate change on Turkey’s drought patterns.en_US
dc.identifier.citationTurp, M. T., Akbaş, A., Saygılı, S., Öztürk, T. & Kurnaz, M. L. (2016). Investigation of the drought probabilities over Turkey in a changing climate. Paper presented at the European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/7068
dc.institutionauthorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.publisherEuropean Geosciences Union (EGU)en_US
dc.relation.ispartofEuropean Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryKonferans Öğesi - Uluslararası - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.titleInvestigation of the drought probabilities over Turkey in a changing climateen_US
dc.typeConference Objecten_US
dspace.entity.typePublicationen_US

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