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Yayın On the sensitivity of desirability functions for multiresponse optimization(American Institute of Mathematical Sciences, 2008-11) Aksezer, Sezgin ÇağlarDesirability functions have been one of the most important multiresponse optimization technique since the early eighties. Main reasons for this popularity might be counted as the convenience of the implementation of the method and it's availability in many experimental design software packages. Technique itself involves somehow subjective parameters such as the importance coefficients between response characteristics that are used to calculate overall desirability, weights used in determining the shape of each individual response and the size of the specification band of the response. However, the impact of these sensitive parameters on the solution set is mostly uninvestigated. This paper proposes a procedure to analyze the sensitivity of the important characteristic parameters of desirability functions and their impact on pareto-optimal solution set. The proposed procedure uses the experimental design tools on the solution space and estimates a prediction equation on the overall desirability to identify the sensitive parameters. For illustration, a classical desirability example is selected from the literature and results are given along with the discussion.Yayın A DBN based reactive maintenance model for a complex system in thermal power plants(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2019-10) Özgür Ünlüakın, Demet; Türkali, Busenur; Karacaörenli, Ayşe; Aksezer, Sezgin ÇağlarThermal power plants consist of several complex systems having many interacting hidden components. Any unexpected failure may lead to prolonged downtime and serious lost profits. Therefore, implementing an effective maintenance policy is crucial for this sector. Although preventive maintenance has become a more popular strategy, it does not completely prevent the need for corrective maintenance. Our aim in this study is to tackle the corrective maintenance implementation problem of a multi-component partially observable dynamic system based on a regenerative air heater in a thermal power plant. We propose eight methods having different efficiency measures with respect to time, effect and probability criteria to minimize the total number of maintenance activities in a given planning horizon. Performances of these methods are evaluated under corrective maintenance strategy using dynamic Bayesian networks. The results show that fault effect methods with best working state probability measure perform better than the others considering both the total amount of maintenance activities and also the solution time. We also point out how the methods can be implemented in real-life and how the results can be used for requirements planning. Furthermore, the proposed methods can be used for the corrective maintenance of all systems having hidden interacting components.Yayın Multiresponse optimisation of powder metals via probabilistic loss functions(Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, 2013) Aksezer, Sezgin Çağlar; Benneyan, James C.Quadratic loss functions have been used extensively within the context of quality engineering and experimental design for process and product optimisation and robust design. In general, this approach determines optimal parameter settings based on minimising the sum of individual or mean loss of the associated response(s) of interest in a defined response surface. While the method is neat and handy, it totally neglects the effect of deviations on the desirable value of loss function. This paper utilises variance and probability distribution of loss functions for developing an in depth optimisation scheme that balances mean and variance of loss in a Pareto optimal manner. Since losses are usually defined in financial terms, this model then further improved to handle the user determined risk levels so that financial losses are being restricted within a certain region of interest. Application of the model is illustrated on a multiresponse optimisation problem from powder metallurgy industry.Yayın Probability distributions and variances of quadratic loss functions(2006) Benneyan, James C.; Aksezer, Sezgin ÇağlarThe use of quadratic loss functions has been advocated in quality engineering and experimental design for process optimization and robust design. We derive theoretical density functions and variances for nominal-the-best, smaller-the-better, and larger-the-better quadratic loss functions in general and when the response variable has a specified distribution. While considerable attention has been given to individual and mean loss, in some applications it is of interest also to know something about the loss distribution and variance. Results frequently exhibit high variance and skew and unique density functions in cases for which it is not advisable to base decisions on expected loss alone.
