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Yayın Hotel sales forecasting with LSTM and N-BEATS(IEEE, 2023-09-15) Özçelik, Şuayb Talha; Tek, Faik Boray; Şekerci, ErdalTime series forecasting aims to model the change in data points over time. It is applicable in many areas, such as energy consumption, solid waste generation, economic indicators (inflation, currency), global warming (heat, water level), and hotel sales forecasting. This paper focuses on hotel sales forecasting with machine learning and deep learning solutions. A simple forecast solution is to repeat the last observation (Naive method) or the average of the past observations (Average method). More sophisticated solutions have been developed over the years, such as machine learning methods that have linear (Linear Regression, ARIMA) and nonlinear (Polynomial Regression and Support Vector Regression) methods. Different kinds of neural networks are developed and used in time series forecasting problems, and two of the successful ones are Recurrent Neural Networks and N-BEATS. This paper presents a forecasting analysis of hotel sales from Türkiye and Cyprus. We showed that N-BEATS is a solid choice against LSTM, especially in long sequences. Moreover, N-BEATS has slightly better inference time results in long sequences, but LSTM is faster in short sequences.Yayın Convolutional neural network (CNN) algorithm based facial emotion recognition (FER) system for FER-2013 dataset(IEEE, 2022-11-18) Ezerceli, Özay; Eskil, Mustafa TanerFacial expression recognition (FER) is the key to understanding human emotions and feelings. It is an active area of research since human thoughts can be collected, processed, and used in customer satisfaction, politics, and medical domains. Automated FER systems had been developed and have been used to recognize humans’ emotions but it has been a quite challenging problem in machine learning due to the high intra-class variation. The first models were using known methods such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), Bayes classifier, Fuzzy Techniques, Feature Selection, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) in their models but still, some limitations affect the accuracy critically such as subjectivity, occlusion, pose, low resolution, scale, illumination variation, etc. The ability of CNN boosts FER accuracy. Deep learning algorithms have emerged as the greatest way to produce the best results in FER in recent years. Various datasets were used to train, test, and validate the models. FER2013, CK+, JAFFE and FERG are some of the most popular datasets. To improve the accuracy of FER models, one dataset or a mix of datasets has been employed. Every dataset includes limitations and issues that have an impact on the model that is trained for it. As a solution to this problem, our state-of-the-art model based on deep learning architectures, particularly convolutional neural network architectures (CNN) with supportive techniques has been implemented. The proposed model achieved 93.7% accuracy with the combination of FER2013 and CK+ datasets for FER2013.Yayın ANN activation function estimators for homomorphic encrypted inference(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2025-06-13) Harb, Mhd Raja Abou; Çeliktaş, BarışHomomorphic Encryption (HE) enables secure computations on encrypted data, facilitating machine learning inference in sensitive environments such as healthcare and finance. However, efficiently handling non-linear activation functions, specifically Sigmoid and Tanh, remains a significant computational challenge for encrypted inference using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). This study introduces a lightweight, ANN-based estimator designed to accurately approximate activation functions under homomorphic encryption. Unlike traditional polynomial and piecewise linear approximations, the proposed ANN estimators achieve superior accuracy with lower computational overhead associated with bootstrapping or high-degree polynomial techniques. These estimators are trained on plaintext data and seamlessly integrated into encrypted inference pipelines, significantly outperforming conventional methods. Experimental evaluations demonstrate notable improvements, with ANN estimators enhancing accuracy by approximately 2% for Sigmoid and up to 73% for Tanh functions, improving F1-scores by approximately 2% for Sigmoid and up to 88% for Tanh, and markedly reducing Mean Square Error (MSE) by up to 96% compared to polynomial approximations. The ANN estimator achieves an accuracy of 97.70% and an AUC of 0.9997 when integrated into a CNN architecture on the MNIST dataset, and an accuracy of 85.25% with an AUC of 0.9459 on the UCI Heart Disease dataset during ciphertext inference. These results underscore the estimator’s practical effectiveness and computational feasibility, making it suitable for secure and efficient ANN inference in encrypted environments.Yayın Secure and interpretable dyslexia detection using homomorphic encryption and SHAP-based explanations(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2025-10-25) Harb, Mhd Raja Abou; Çeliktaş, Barış; Eroğlu, GünetProtecting sensitive healthcare data during machine learning inference is critical, particularly in cloud-based environments. This study addresses the privacy and interpretability challenges in dyslexia detection using Quantitative EEG (QEEG) data. We propose a privacy-preserving framework utilizing Homomorphic Encryption (HE) to securely perform inference with an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Due to the incompatibility of non-linear activation functions with encrypted arithmetic, we employ a dedicated approximation strategy. To ensure model interpretability without compromising privacy, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) are computed homomorphically and decrypted client-side. Experimental evaluations demonstrate that the encrypted inference achieves an accuracy of 90.03% and an AUC of 0.8218, reflecting only minor performance degradation compared to plaintext inference. SHAP value comparisons (Spearman correlation = 0.59) validate the reliability of the encrypted explanations. These results confirm that integrating privacy-preserving and explainable AI approaches is feasible for secure, ethical, and compliant healthcare deployments.
