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Yayın Cost-effective fault diagnosis of a multi-component dynamic system under corrective maintenance(Elsevier Ltd, 2021-04) Özgür Ünlüakın, Demet; Türkali, Busenur; Aksezer, Sezgin ÇağlarMaintenance planning and execution are challenging tasks for every system with complex structure. Interdependent nature of the components that builds up the system may have significant effect on system integrity. While preventive maintenance actions can be carried out in a more planned fashion, corrective actions are more time sensitive as they directly affect the availability of the system. This study proposes a cost-effective dynamic Bayesian network modeling scheme to be used in the planning of corrective maintenance actions on systems having hidden components which have stochastic and structural dependencies. In such context, the regenerative air heater system which is a key element of a power plant is taken into consideration. The proposed maintenance framework offers several methods, each aiming to balance the cost with the probability effect using a normalization procedure. The methodologies are extensively simulated for sensitivity analysis under various downtime cost values. Fault effect methods with worst state probability efficiency measures give the least total cost for all downtime cost values and their distinction becomes significant as this value increases. Further statistical analysis concludes that considerable gains on maintenance costs can be achieved by the proposed approach.Yayın Parçacık süzgeçleme ile hedef izleme uygulamasında topak çizelgeleme(IEEE, 2007) Özfidan, Özgür; Bayazıt, Uluğ; Çırpan, Hakan AliBu çalışmada, uzaklık ölçer algılayıcılarla hedef takibi uygulamasında algılayıcı çizelgeleme problemi ele alınmıştır. Çok algılayıcılı uygulamalarda algılayıcıların yönetimi ürettikleri verilerin sınıflandırılması için olduğu kadar algılayıcıların verimli kullanımı için de gereklidir. Algılayıcı yönetimindeki önemli hususlardan biri algılayıcı çizelgelemesidir. Algılayıcıları çizelgeleyerek bant genişliği, güç, ve hesaplamada ciddi ölçüde kazanımlar sağlanabilir.Yayın Cluster based sensor scheduling in a target tracking application with particle filtering(IEEE, 2007) Özfidan, Özgür; Bayazıt, Uluğ; Çırpan, Hakan AliIn multi-sensor applications management of sensors is necessary for the classification of data they produce and for the efficient use of sensors as well. One of the important aspects in sensor management is the sensor scheduling. By scheduling the sensors, serious reductions can be achieved in the cost of bandwidth, power, and computation. In this work a simple solution for the problem of sensor scheduling in a multi-sensor target tracking application is presented. Due to non-linearity of the problem itself, proposed solution is presented in the framework of non-linear Bayesian estimation.Yayın Software defect prediction using Bayesian networks(Springer, 2014-02) Okutan, Ahmet; Yıldız, Olcay TanerThere are lots of different software metrics discovered and used for defect prediction in the literature. Instead of dealing with so many metrics, it would be practical and easy if we could determine the set of metrics that are most important and focus on them more to predict defectiveness. We use Bayesian networks to determine the probabilistic influential relationships among software metrics and defect proneness. In addition to the metrics used in Promise data repository, we define two more metrics, i.e. NOD for the number of developers and LOCQ for the source code quality. We extract these metrics by inspecting the source code repositories of the selected Promise data repository data sets. At the end of our modeling, we learn the marginal defect proneness probability of the whole software system, the set of most effective metrics, and the influential relationships among metrics and defectiveness. Our experiments on nine open source Promise data repository data sets show that response for class (RFC), lines of code (LOC), and lack of coding quality (LOCQ) are the most effective metrics whereas coupling between objects (CBO), weighted method per class (WMC), and lack of cohesion of methods (LCOM) are less effective metrics on defect proneness. Furthermore, number of children (NOC) and depth of inheritance tree (DIT) have very limited effect and are untrustworthy. On the other hand, based on the experiments on Poi, Tomcat, and Xalan data sets, we observe that there is a positive correlation between the number of developers (NOD) and the level of defectiveness. However, further investigation involving a greater number of projects is needed to confirm our findings.Yayın Evaluation of proactive maintenance policies on a stochastically dependent hidden multi-component system using DBNs(Elsevier Ltd, 2021-07) Özgür Ünlüakın, Demet; Türkali, BusenurIn complex systems with stochastically dependent components which are not observed directly, determining an effective maintenance policy is a difficult task. In this paper, a dynamic Bayesian network based maintenance decision framework is proposed to evaluate proactive maintenance policies for such systems. Two preventive and one predictive maintenance strategies from a cost perspective are designed for multi-component dependable systems which aim to reduce maintenance cost while increasing system reliability at the same time. Tabu procedure is employed to avoid repetitive similar actions. The performances of the policies are compared with a reactive maintenance strategy and also with each other using different strategy parameters on a real life system confronted in thermal power plants for six different scenarios. The scenarios are designed considering different structures of system dependability and reactive cost. The results show that the threshold based maintenance which is the predictive strategy gives the minimum cost and maintenance number in almost all scenarios.
