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Yayın Driving forces of Turkey's transportation sector CO2 emissions: An LMDI approach(Elsevier Ltd, 2020-08-01) Işık, Mine; Sarıca, Kemal; Ari, İzzetThe transportation sector is one of the main contributors to global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. As the efforts towards emission mitigation increase, the expectation from the sector arises equally. In this analysis, the transportation sector of Turkey is studied to shed light on the future based on historical realizations. In this respect, the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method is used to assess and reveal the influential factors on CO2 emissions in the sector between 2000 and 2017. The emission intensity of the sector and fuel switching shows promising trends from 2000 through 2010, whereas growing preference for SUVs challenges emission reductions between 2010 and 2017. The results indicate that i) The transportation sector CO2 emissions are mainly driven upwards by economic growth, followed by population and emission intensity effects from 2000 to 2017 ii) The overall impact of transportation intensity shows significant reduction potential iii) Fuel switching incentives and fleet efficiency have a positive effect on emission mitigation from 2000 through 2010. However, this gain is reduced due to the rising popularity of SUVs in the rest of the analysis period. In this respect, CO2 emission mitigation in the transportation sector necessitates 1) careful planning of demand management for freight transportation including master designs production/manufacturing sites, material flows, and demand points coupled with economic activities 2) passenger transportation measures to reduce passenger car travel including zoning for public transit corridors, improved public transportation system 3) well-structured incentives on energy-efficient cars and clean energy technologies such as electric vehicles to convince individuals. Analysis can be generalized on a global scale due to the similar dynamics inherent in the sector.Yayın Leveraging renewable energy for Türkiye's future hydrogen supply chain(Elsevier Ltd, 2025-09-09) Türkali Özbek, Busenur; Erdoğan, Ahmet; Güler, Mehmet GürayAs energy and climate crises necessitate a shift to sustainable resources, hydrogen - with its zero-emission potential-is expected to play a key role in the energy transition. Designing an effective hydrogen supply chain (HSC) is essential to realizing this potential. This study introduces a multi-period, multi-objective stochastic optimization model for Türkiye's transportation-sector HSC. It addresses gaps in existing research by integrating dynamic renewable energy availability, lifecycle-based CO2 emissions, and regional green hydrogen prioritization. The ε-constraint method is used to balance economic and environmental objectives. Results show that Türkiye can significantly reduce emissions by gradually transitioning from fossil-based production and by optimizing facility locations based on regional solar, wind, and hydrogen sulfide potential. Centralized production reduces costs but increases transport risk and emissions, while localized production improves resilience yet may increase fossil fuel reliance in resource-limited regions. These findings offer strategic guidance for aligning hydrogen planning with Türkiye's climate commitments.
