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Flight to quality and the predictability of reversals: The role of market states and global factors
(Elsevier Science BV, 2017-12)
This paper examines the time-series predictability of reversals in an emerging stock market, Borsa Istanbul. We show that short-term reversals, thus the payoffs to the contrarian strategy, are predictable with the market ...
Global risk aversion and emerging market return comovements
(Elsevier Science SA, 2018-12)
Utilizing the recently developed measure of global risk aversion by Xu (2017), we show that global risk aversion is a significant determinant of international equity correlations, consistently across all emerging markets ...