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The U.S. term structure and return volatility in emerging stock markets
(Springer, 2020-05-29)
This paper examines the predictive power of the U.S. term structure over return volatility in emerging stock markets. Decomposing the term structure of U.S. Treasury yields into two components, the expectations factor and ...
Oil price uncertainty, global industry returns and active investment strategies
(Elsevier B.V., 2020-11)
This paper shows that time-varying oil return volatility predicts regime transitions across a majority of global stock sectors, particularly for durables, financials, industrials, oil & gas, telecommunications and utilities. ...
Flight to quality and the predictability of reversals: The role of market states and global factors
(Elsevier Science BV, 2017-12)
This paper examines the time-series predictability of reversals in an emerging stock market, Borsa Istanbul. We show that short-term reversals, thus the payoffs to the contrarian strategy, are predictable with the market ...
Global risk aversion and emerging market return comovements
(Elsevier Science SA, 2018-12)
Utilizing the recently developed measure of global risk aversion by Xu (2017), we show that global risk aversion is a significant determinant of international equity correlations, consistently across all emerging markets ...
Time-varying risk aversion and currency excess returns
(Elsevier Ltd, 2022-01)
This paper documents an economically significant risk premium associated with a currency's sensitivity to time-varying risk aversion. Consequently, an investment strategy that takes a long (short) position in currencies ...