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dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.contributor.authorMatte, Dominicen_US
dc.contributor.authorChristensen, Jens Hesselbjergen_US
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-07T18:37:23Z
dc.date.available2021-12-07T18:37:23Z
dc.date.issued2022-09
dc.identifier.citationÖztürk, T., Matte, D. & Christensen, J. H. (2021). Robustness of future atmospheric circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domain. Climate Dynamics, 59(5-6), 1799-1814. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-06069-0en_US
dc.identifier.issn0930-7575
dc.identifier.issn1432-0894
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/3315
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06069-0
dc.description.abstractEuropean climate is associated with variability and changes in the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation. In this study, we aim to investigate potential future change in circulation over Europe by using the EURO-CORDEX regional climate projections at 0.11° grid mesh. In particular, we analyze future change in 500-hPa geopotential height (Gph), 500-hPa wind speed and mean sea level pressure (MSLP) addressing different warming levels of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C, respectively. Simple scaling with the global mean temperature change is applied to the regional climate projections for monthly mean 500-hPa Gph and 500-hPa wind speed. Results from the ensemble mean of individual models show a robust increase in 500-hPa Gph and MSLP in winter over Mediterranean and Central Europe, indicating an intensification of anticyclonic circulation. This circulation change emerges robustly in most simulations within the coming decade. There are also enhanced westerlies which transport warm and moist air to the Mediterranean and Central Europe in winter and spring. It is also clear that, models showing different responses to circulation depend very much on the global climate model ensemble member in which they are nested. For all seasons, particularly autumn, the ensemble mean is much more correlated with the end of the century than most of the individual models. In general, the emergence of a scaled pattern appears rather quickly.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipTugba Ozturk was supported by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) under the programme TUBITAK 2219—International Postdoctoral Research Fellowship. This work also received support by the European Union under the Horizon 2020 Grant Agreement 776613, the EUCP project.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbHen_US
dc.relation.isversionof10.1007/s00382-021-06069-0
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectAtmospheric circulationen_US
dc.subjectChange signalsen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectClimate-change projectionsen_US
dc.subjectCMIP5 modelsen_US
dc.subjectEURO-CORDEXen_US
dc.subjectLapse-rateen_US
dc.subjectPatternsen_US
dc.subjectRegional climate modelingen_US
dc.subjectSimulationsen_US
dc.subjectUncertaintiesen_US
dc.subjectVariabilityen_US
dc.titleRobustness of future atmospheric circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domainen_US
dc.typearticleen_US
dc.description.versionPublisher's Versionen_US
dc.relation.journalClimate Dynamicsen_US
dc.contributor.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Fizik Bölümüen_US
dc.contributor.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Physicsen_US
dc.contributor.authorID0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.identifier.volume59
dc.identifier.issue5-6
dc.identifier.startpage1799
dc.identifier.endpage1814
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.contributor.institutionauthorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.relation.indexWOSen_US
dc.relation.indexScopusen_US
dc.relation.indexScience Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
dc.description.qualityQ2
dc.description.wosidWOS:000722493100002


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